With the 84th Academy Awards only hours away, I have decided to reveal my predictions, ranked from most likely to win through least likely to win. I took on all the categories, some of which I have not seen all the nominees for and are thus wild guesses. This list does not represent what I feel should win, but are the conclusions reached given the numbers I ran, the voters I polled, and my keen natural instincts. Check below the jump to see all the predictions, and happy viewing!
Best Picture of the Year
1. THE ARTIST
2. THE DESCENDANTS
3. HUGO
4. THE TREE OF LIFE
5. MIDNIGHT IN PARIS
6. THE HELP
7. EXTREMELY LOUD & INCREDIBLY CLOSE
8. MONEYBALL
9. WAR HORSE
Best Achievement in Directing
1. Michel Hazanavicius, THE ARTIST
2. Martin Scorsese, HUGO
3. Alexander Payne, THE DESCENDANTS
4. Terrence Malick, THE TREE OF LIFE
5. Woody Allen, MIDNIGHT IN PARIS
Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role
1. Jean Dujardin, THE ARTIST
2. George Clooney, THE DESCENDANTS
3.Gary Oldman, TINKER, TAILOR, SOLDIER, SPY
4. Demián Bichir, A BETTER LIFE
5. Brad Pitt, MONEYBALL
Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role
1. Viola Davis, THE HELP
2. Meryl Streep, THE IRON LADY
3. Michelle Williams, MY WEEK WITH MARILYN
4. Glenn Close, ALBERT NOBBS
5. Rooney Mara, THE GIRL WITH THE DRAGON TATTOO
Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role
1. Christopher Plummer, BEGINNERS
2. Max von Sydow, EXTREMELY LOUD & INCREDIBLY CLOSE
3. Nick Nolte, WARRIOR
4. Kenneth Branagh, MY WEEK WITH MARILYN
5. Jonah Hill, MONEYBALL
Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role
1. Octavia Spencer, THE HELP
2. Melissa McCarthy, BRIDESMAIDS
3. Janet McTeer, ALBERT NOBBS
4. Bérénice Bejo, THE ARTIST
5. Jessica Chastain, THE HELP
Best Writing (Adapted Screenplay)
1. THE DESCENDANTS, screenplay by Alexander Payne and Nat Faxon & Jim Rash
2. HUGO, screenplay by John Logan
3. TINKER, TAILOR, SOLDIER, SPY, screenplay by Bridget O'Connor & Peter Straughan
4. THE IDES OF MARCH, screenplay by George Clooney & Grant Heslov and Beau Willimon
5. MONEYBALL, screenplay by Steven Zaillian and Aaron Sorkin
Best Writing (Original Screenplay)
1. A SEPARATION, written by Asghar Farhadi
2. MIDNIGHT IN PARIS, written by Woody Allen
3. THE ARTIST, written by Michel Hazanavicius
4. BRIDESMAIDS, written by Annie Mumolo & Kristen Wiig
5. MARGIN CALL, written by J.C. Chandor
Best Animated Feature Film
1. RANGO
2. CHICO & RITA
3. A CAT IN PARIS
4. PUSS IN BOOTS
5. KUNG FU PANDA 2
Best Foreign Language Film
1. A SEPARATION (Iran)
2. IN DARKNESS (Poland)
3. BULLHEAD (Belgium)
4. FOOTNOTE (Israel)
5. MONSIEUR LAZHAR (Canada)
Best Achievement in Cinematography
1. THE TREE OF LIFE, Emmanuel Lubezki
2. THE ARTIST, Guillaume Schiffman
3. HUGO, Robert Richardson
4. WAR HORSE, Janusz Kaminski
5. THE GIRL WITH THE DRAGON TATTOO, Jeff Cronenweth
Best Achievement in Art Direction
1. HUGO, Dante Ferretti (production design), Francesca Lo Schiavo (set decoration)
2. THE ARTIST, Laurence Bennett (production design), Robert Gould (set decoration)
3. MIDNIGHT IN PARIS, Anne Seibel (production design), Hélène Dubreuil (set decoration)
4. HARRY POTTER AND THE DEATHLY HALLOWS PART 2, Stuart Craig (production design), Stephenie McMillan (set decoration)
5. WAR HORSE, Rick Carter (production design), Lee Sandales (set decoration)
Best Achievement in Costume Design
1. THE ARTIST, Mark Bridges
2. HUGO, Sandy Powell
3. JANE EYRE, Michael O'Connor
4. W.E., Arianne Phillips
5. ANONYMOUS, Lisy Christl
Best Documentary Feature
1. IF A TREE FALLS: A STORY OF THE EARTH LIBERATION FRONT
2. UNDEFEATED
3. HELL AND BACK AGAIN
4. PINA
5. PARADISE LOST 3: PURGATORY
Best Documentary Short
1. SAVING FACE
2. THE TSUNAMI AND THE CHERRY BLOSSOM
3. GOD IS THE BIGGER ELVIS
4. INCIDENT IN NEW BAGHDAD
5. THE BARBER OF BIRMINGHAM: FOOT SOLDIER OF THE CIVIL RIGHTS MOVEMENT
Best Achievement in Film Editing
1. THE ARTIST, Annie-Sophie Bion and Michel Hazanavicius
2. HUGO, Thelma Schoonmaker
3. THE GIRL WITH THE DRAGON TATOO, Kirk Baxter and Angus Wall
4. THE DESCENDANTS, Kevin Tent
5. MONEYBALL, Christopher Tellefsen
Best Achievement in Makeup
1. ALBERT NOBBS, Martial Corneville, Lynn Johnston and Matthew M. Mungle
2. THE IRON LADY, Mark Coulier and J. Roy Helland
3. HARRY POTTER AND THE DEATHLY HALLOWS PART 2, Nick Dudman, Amanda Knight and Lisa Tomlin
Best Achievement in Music (Original Score)
1. THE ARTIST, Ludovic Bource
2. WAR HORSE, John Williams
3. THE ADVENTURES OF TINTIN, John Williams
4. HUGO, Howard Shore
5. TINKER, TAILOR, SOLDIER, SPY, Alberto Igleasis
Best Achievement in Music (Original Song)
1. THE MUPPETS, "Man or Muppet" (music and lyric by Bret McKenzie)
2. RIO, "Real in Rio" (music by Sergio Mendes and Carlinhos Brown, lyric by Siedah Garrett)
Best Short Film (Animated)
1. A MORNING STROLL
2. THE FANTASTIC FLYING BOOKS OF MR. MORRIS LESSMORE
3. LA LUNA
4. DIMANCHE/SUNDAY
5. WILD LIFE
Best Short Film (Live Action)
1. THE SHORE
2. TUBA ATLANTIC
3. PENTECOST
4. RAJU
5. TIME FREAK
Best Achievement in Sound Editing
1. DRIVE, Lon Bender and Victor Ray Ennis
2. HUGO, Phillip Stockton and Eugene Gearty
3. TRANSFORMERS: DARK OF THE MOON, Ethan Van Der Ryan and Erik Aadahl
4. WAR HORSE, Richard Hymns and Gary Rydstrom
5. THE GIRL WITH THE DRAGON TATTOO, Ren Klyce
Best Achievement in Sound Mixing
1. HUGO, Tom Fleischman and John Midgley
2. MONEYBALL, Deb Adair, Ron Bochar, Dave Giammarco and Ed Novick
3. TRANSFORMERS: DARK OF THE MOON, Greg P. Russell, Gary Summers, Jeffrey J. Haboush and Peter J. Devlin
4. WAR HORSE, Gary Rydstrom, Andy Nelson, Tom Johnson and Stuart Wilson
5. THE GIRL WITH THE DRAGON TATTOO, David Parker, Michael S
emanick, Ren Klyce and Bo Persson
Best Achievement in Visual Effects
1. HUGO, Rob Legato, Joss Williams, Ben Grossman and Alex Henning
2. RISE OF THE PLANET OF THE APES, Joe Letteri, Dan Lemmon, R. Christopher White and Daniel Barrett
3. HARRY POTTER AND THE DEATHLY HALLOWS PART 2, Tim Burke, David Vickery, Greg Butler and John Richardson
4. TRANSFORMERS: DARK OF THE MOON, Dan Glass, Brad Friedman, Douglas Trumbull and Michael Fink
5. REAL STEEL, Erik Nash, John Rosengrant, Dan Taylor and Swen Gillberg
So what do you think?
Did I get them wrong, did I get them right?
What do you think will and should win?
Let me know below in comments, and be sure to come back here tomorrow to compare my results to the actual winners!
Rich
Comments are welcome and, for anyone with a literary mind, I encourage checking out my poetry blogfilled with all original works for your reading pleasure.
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© 2011 Richard James Thorne
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